... Or sometimes the opposite to the above cartoon is true - Ockham’s razor - other things equal, explanations that posit fewer entities, or fewer kinds of entities, are to be preferred to explanations that posit more, ie, you find yourself having to chase conspiracy after conspiracy to support your theory, it is likely wrong, (not to be political, but think of rigged election claims - China did it with Italian satellites after Germany kidnapped the CIA director ...). It's been said, critical thinking: Does this follow from that (logic), does it make sense, what other explanations are there ... just use your brain.
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cheers