Jessica Riedl's 2026 chart book provides a standard, non-partisan look at the trends in spending, taxes, and deficits.
www.brookings.edu
This report is a very good summary of why Federal discretionary spending for important programs like the Forest Service are (and will continue) suffering. Other categories of Federal spending are rising sharply and consuming an ever larger percentage of the US budget. The situation is dire no later than the mid 2030s.
View attachment 191947
View attachment 191948
View attachment 191949
Federal spending on hugely expanding entitlement programs & cost of debt financing is clearly responsible for this first wave of "easy" cuts to discretionary spending on things like Forest Service research labs. We the aging American citizens are indirectly causing these cuts.
Unfortunately our government has chosen to monetize the debt away through inflation. Holders of US dollars and bonds are getting crushed. Equities and commodities appear to rise, but only when priced in inflated US dollars. The aging citizens will still get their checks, but the money will seem trivial compared to inflation and what was promised. Important parts of the Federal government will get hollowed out by successive waves of cuts to keep the benefit checks flowing. Finally, the younger generation come into power and reset the currency and start a new order, chastened by the excesses of previous generations.