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  1. RRSmith

    Got any bird pics?

    I'd go with Cooper's....
  2. RRSmith

    Rain

    We had a pretty good soaking (1.46") near Lincoln City with over 3" in the nearby Coastal Mountains. With the high river flows, my tidewater springer fishing has been shelved for a few days but I don't mind - we really needed the rain.
  3. RRSmith

    Rain

    We have .18" since midnight here near Lincoln City. Here's more on the heatwave forecast - ugh: https://weatherwest.com/archives/43869
  4. RRSmith

    Rain

    The Storm Prediction Center has expanded the risk area in this morning's update which now includes Bend in the slight risk box as well as add a 2% tornado risk though the primary threat will remain severe wind gusts. They are anticipating storms merging together in a line with some rotating...
  5. RRSmith

    Rain

    Following up with Brian's post from yesterday afternoon - SPC has issued a slight risk for severe thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon/evening in SE Washington/NE Oregon. SPC Outlook The primary risk will be for strong outflow winds but greater than 1" hail is also a possibility. Yakima and the...
  6. RRSmith

    Rain

    Thanks for posting this Brian. Below is a forecast model that predicts the tracks of rotating thunderstorms which can cause severe hail or wind gusts. At first glance - I would say this particular model run is overplaying the risk as we rarely if ever see updraft helicity swath forecasts like...
  7. RRSmith

    Small creeks

    There are at least a couple of species of sculpin found in Oregon that live entirely in freshwater.
  8. RRSmith

    Small creeks

    Outstanding! The puked out fish looks like a sculpin - maybe a riffle sculpin?
  9. RRSmith

    Klamath, Trinity, and Sac get a salmon season again...

    Finally CA DFW and the Feds have decided to semi protect wild Klamath spring run with a July 1 start date. This assures that most of what's left of the wild springers have safely made into the Salmon River and upper South Fork Trinity River watersheds. There's a hatchery run that goes up the...
  10. RRSmith

    SFR Cooler advice

    I'm a big Pelican fan (I have two) ... Pros: Made in the USA, lifetime warranty, incredible ice retention. Cons: they are heavy (30 qt weighs 21 pounds)
  11. RRSmith

    Rain

    Long range forecasting is based on mathematical models and nothing more. As a one of my former colleagues (who was a duck population guy) used to say - "all models are flawed, some models are useful".
  12. RRSmith

    SFR 45 years ago today…..

    I was in my senior year at San Jose State. The day after the eruption started, I ditched classes, jumped in my 68 Fiat 124 sedan and started driving north. About 8 1/2 hours later - I was somewhere between Bend and Madras Oregon on 97 and could clearly see the plume. I pulled off and watched...
  13. RRSmith

    Cell Phone Pics

    Trolling for springers at the mouth of Nestucca Bay this past week.
  14. RRSmith

    West side lake

    Thanks for that Dave - and apologies for hijacking your thread. Your lake has been on the same path as my lake - Devils Lake on the Oregon Coast. Aquatic weeds (Myriophyllum) then grass carp (in the 1980's) then the grass carp die off and weeds return. This time it was Elodea and the water...
  15. RRSmith

    West side lake

    I enjoyed the report - thanks for sharing! If the aquatic plant is Elodea (and it looks like it is), I hope it behaves itself. It can literally take over a lake and make it difficult to impossible to navigate around in water less than 8' deep.
  16. RRSmith

    Rain

    We are running close to normal precip this current water year (since Oct 1) around Lincoln City on the Oregon Coast. This last little shot of left 1.43" in the bucket and was the first measurable rain for the month. The two medium range forecast models (GFS and Euro) are not at all in...
  17. RRSmith

    Super El Nino

    Stories like the one in the Washington Post are the kind that's driving meteorologists and climatologists crazy. Within the group I am a part of, there have been several discussion threads about how the media is treating (hyping) this event. The group felt that the article by Bob Henson (link...
  18. RRSmith

    Super El Nino

    There's been a lot of hype about the upcoming El Nino including articles predicting it may be the strongest on record. Bob Henson, one of the members of my weather geek Facebook group authored this excellent no hype discussion of what to expect. I think it's an outstanding summary of all...
  19. RRSmith

    SFR Oregon Water shortage (NY Times)

    Whiskey is for drinking and water is for fighting - Mark Twain was credited with this quote but I am not certain he was the source. It's never been more true than in the arid (and even not so arid) west. Having spent a fair amount of my career working with ranchers, water rights and fish...
  20. RRSmith

    Rain

    We have .44" so far at our place near Lincoln City - it's our first measurable rainfall for the month of May. This morning's 16 day forecast models (out to 28 May) aren't exactly bullish on wet - between .90" and 1.50" for the period.
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