Recent content by JayB

  1. JayB

    Snohomish System to Close 10/3

    Saw this figure floating around on social media. Can't confirm the accuracy of the figures for MA-10, but it looks like the total catch in MA10 is over the forecast by 23k (167%) of and still open, and AFAIK there't no talk of closing the Green/Duwamish early. IIRC the Lake Washington fishery...
  2. JayB

    Snohomish System to Close 10/3

    Yeah when you take the raw numbers from the creel reports, factor in the fact that there aren't people stationed at every ramp every day, and all of the other parameters that they feed into the model, it doesn't seem like a stretch to get a total catch in the ballpark of what the wdfw has...
  3. JayB

    Snohomish System to Close 10/3

    FWIW the total number of coho retained in MA 8-2 per the creel reporting data available in the CSV I downloaded a few minutes ago is 13,949. August = 3,934. September = 10,015, based on 209 reports representing 15,237 anglers. Everett = 10,817. Mukilteo = 2,252. Camano Island State Park = 590...
  4. JayB

    Snohomish System to Close 10/3

    I was curious about that too. I'm going to download the CSV file for this year's creel reports when I get a minute and compare the sum total Harvest for 8-2 coho at all of the ramps and see where what it amounts to. I'm sure that's only part of the data that they use, and all gets tossed into...
  5. JayB

    Snohomish System to Close 10/3

    -The tin-foil-hat part of my brain wonders if that was the point. Overharvest ---> System Wide Closure ---> No Monitoring/Enforcement + Happy Co-Managers. The majority of my brain is running the "Never assume malice is necessary when incompetence is sufficient" code, but... -The catch in 8-2...
  6. JayB

    Snohomish System to Close 10/3

    Bit puzzling to me that the WDFW wasn't able to compile the catch data in a more timely manner and make 8-2 mark selective like area 9 when there were clear signs that the unclipped catch was going over the quota given that they had access to the fish-counter data from the ramps and electronic...
  7. JayB

    Snohomish System to Close 10/3

    Sounds like returns are way below previous years and expectations for this year, and from what I've heard the marine sport catch went way over the quota. Hopefully the fish are just late and there'll be news about a re-opening soon.
  8. JayB

    Freshwater coho flies

    Had a ludicrous morning fishing for coho with spinners with my brother-in-law & felt compelled to give into the siren's song crank out a batch of "Indigo Canid" flies.
  9. JayB

    Tuna 2026

    I'm extremely prone to motion sickness from spinning and swells and have been taking a cocktail of meds to stay upright on the Tuna trips that I've been on (patch + 1/2 tab of promethazine with a Zofran on hand for breakthrough nausea). FWIW there's a new sea-sickness med on the market - trade...
  10. JayB

    Stilli opener delayed

    Looks like I might be off for a day and the non-selective rags might go inside with the reduction in the limit. Definitely think it would make vastly more sense to go with a "retain your limit and go home" system.
  11. JayB

    Stilli opener delayed

    Evidently the coho-catch in MA9 and 8-2 is at ~300% of projections and Evidently the catch rate in Marine Area 9 and Marine Area 8-2 are at something like 300% of projections, so both are reverting to a one fish limit starting tomorrow. Instantly, non-mark selective fishing in Marine area 9...
  12. JayB

    Open Seat: Westport Tuna 10/4

    My original trip was cancelled, but we've got three folks on board (@Cabezon, myself, and a friend of mine that's not on the forum) and ready to book a trip out of Westport on 10/4. If you had a trip of your own cancelled due to weather, wanted to go but couldn't make previous dates work, or...
  13. JayB

    Sky not until Nov 1st.

    Here's a draft of a letter that I intent to send to the WDFW and I'd welcome any suggestions. I burned a lord knows how many tokens in a sustained dialogue with ChatGPT trying to understand the formal/written/quantitative basis for the WDFW's decision to close the Skykomish, skimmed the relevant...
  14. JayB

    Sky not until Nov 1st.

    Something tells me you're more likely to hook a native chinook on a #14 elk hair caddis in an upper Sky trib than you are to encounter anyone enforcing those closures up in that territory - even when there's not a funding crisis so severe the state can't even pay for creel checkers - so it's...
  15. JayB

    Sky not until Nov 1st.

    FWIW I sent the following inquiry to the WDFW: "I'm writing to inquire about the data the WDFW and co-managers referenced to justify the closure of the Skykomish river until November 1. Specifically, I would like to know: 1) what the return forecast is for natural-origin Skykomish Chinook this...
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